World Risk Map methodology
Our Intelligence and Analysis Services team have ranked countries from least to most risky using 20 different risk markers grouped under five main categories:
- Security risks (inc. petty & violent crime, civil conflicts, protests, strikes and terrorism)
- Political risks (inc. government stability, levels of corruption, political interference and sanctions)
- Medical risks (inc. presence of diseases, standard of medical facilities, access to water and availability of pharmaceuticals)
- Environmental risks (inc. proximity to seismic activity, frequency of storms, presence of manmade ordnance such as landmines and climatic hazards)
- Infrastructural risks (inc. road safety and standards, provision of utilities such as electricity, cyber crime and aviation security & standards)
World Risk Map – results
As you can see from the map above, the Middle East and North Africa emerged as the most risky destinations for travellers, with many of the countries in this region appearing in our top 10 risky countries, as well as in the individual risk category breakdowns also.
This high level of risk permeates throughout North and Central Africa, with the key challenges including infrastructural, environmental and medical risks. This is unsurprising considering the regional threat of diseases coupled with a generally poor access to medical facilities and medication.
Travellers may also find it challenging to get around certain due to poor aviation safety standards and large areas of poorly maintained roads that make driving difficult. Theres also been a growing lawlessness in regions of the Democratic Republic of Congo and its neighbours driven by criminals and militias taking advantage of fractured governments.
On the flip-side, travellers will find Europe and North America much safer to travel to, especially if you avoid regional climatic events such as hurricanes or tropical storms. The quality of infrastructure is generally much higher, accessibility to medication, water, etc. is plentiful and aside from the occasional protest or strike, countries in these regions are generally very stable.
When looking at the lowest risk countries, we classed Aruba as the least risky country in the world. The small, Dutch-owned Caribbean island is a popular tourist destination and sits outside of the Caribbean’s main hurricane belt, which helps it to avoid the severe impacts of nearly all major tropical storms.
Taking a step back, we’ve classed Singapore, Taiwan and Uruguay as the lowest risk countries with a population of a million plus inhabitants. Political stability and relatively strong economies help to keep these disparate nations down the bottom end of the riskiness scale, despite nearby political volatility and vulnerabilities to certain natural hazards.
Despite the seemingly benign threats in these regions, travellers are still advised to practice caution and to stay aware of threats to their person, especially if travelling during the Asia-Pacific typhoon season.
Below you can take a closer look at each region: